The AFC North was supposed to be the toughest division in football. It almost always is, but this year, the rest of the division is falling away from the 3-1 Baltimore Ravens.
Lamar Jackson has his team all alone in first place and ahead of the 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are coming off a loss to the Texans and BetSided NFL betting expert Iain MacMillan thinks fading them right now is a great idea.
MacMillan picks every game on the NFL schedule in his weekly, “Road to 272” and this week his best bet of all is to take the Ravens to cover against the Steelers in Pittsburgh.
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Ravens vs. Steelers odds, spread and total
Betting expert for Ravens in Week 5
Last week, the Ravens cruised to a win against the Browns with their backup quarterback and now there’s a chance that they face another backup this week. Though it might not matter, because as MacMillan points out, the Steelers offense is a mess even with Kenny Pickett.
“If we look at net yards per play, the Ravens enter Week 5 ranking third at +1.5," MacMillan wrote. "Only the Dolphins (+2.3) and 49ers (+1.8) rank better in that stat. Meanwhile, the Steelers are down at 30th with a net yards per play of -1.1. That's ugly.”
Often, the AFC North is about physicality and about the war in the trenches. The Steelers keep losing that war.
“The Steelers, as has been the case for years now, continue to not be able to stop the run," MacMillan added. "They're allowing teams to gain 4.7 yards per carry against them, which is the fifth most in the NFL. Now, they have to face a Ravens team who runs the ball on 54.51% of plays, the most in the league. Also, 45.15% of their total offensive yards gained this season has come on the ground, the second most behind only Cleveland.”
MacMillan makes a very strong case for backing Baltimore.
Follow all Iain MacMillan’s bets HERE
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