The Baltimore Ravens are fresh off the most impressive win of the season, out-classing the San Francisco 49ers by double digits on the road on Christmas evening.
Now, with the MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson back home, can he lead the team to another impressive victory and clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC? That's the task at hand against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. While the side will be interesting to dissect, I'm eyeing the total in the battle between the top two teams in the AFC.
Here's my full betting preview for Sunday's matchup:
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Dolphins vs. Ravens odds, spread and total
Ravens vs. Dolphins betting trends
- Both teams are 10-4 against the spread (ATS) this season
- The Dolphins have covered in six of eight games on the road
- Both teams have covered in four of its last five games
- Lamar Jackson is 21-30 ATS when not favored by three or less or an underdog
Dolphins vs. Ravens injury reports
Dolphins Injury Report
- Tua Tagovailoa - QB - Questionable
- Tyreek Hill - WR - Quetsionable
- Andrew Van Ginkel - LB - Questionable
- Xavien Howard - CB - Questionable
- Austin Jackson - G - Questionable
- Liam Echienburg - OT - Questionable
- De'Von Achane - RB - Questionable
- Jaylen Waddle - WR - Questionable
- Raheem Mostert - RB - Questionable
- Robbie Chosen - WR - Questionable
Ravens Injury Report
- Jayln Armour-Davis - CB - Questionable
- Zay Flowers - WR - Questionable
- Kyle Hamilton - S - Questionable
- Arthur Maulet - CB - Questionable
- Patrick Mekarl - OT - Questionable
- Patrick Queen - LB - Questionable
- Roquan Smith - LB - Questionable
- Jordan Sout - P - Questionable
- Broderick Washington - DT - Questionable
- Kevin Zeitler - G - Questionable
Dolphins vs. Ravens How to Watch
- Date: Sunday, December 31st
- Game Time: 1:00 PM EST
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
- How to Watch (TV): CBS
- Dolphins Record: 11-4
- Ravens Record: 12-3
Dolphins vs. Ravens Key Players to Watch
Tyreek Hill: Hill returned from injury to play an incredibly impactful role in the Dolphins' last-second victory against the Cowboys, catching nine passes and 99 yards, including a pivotal third-down conversion. The league's leading receiver will look to outpace a Ravens defense that just shut down the best offense in the NFL in the 49ers.
Lamar Jackson: The MVP leader is fresh off an outstanding game in which he combined for nearly 300 yards to give the Ravens the inside track to the top seed in the AFC. While Jackson's numbers aren't eye-popping like most MVPs, his ability to extend plays and keep the Ravens on track is fourth in success rate this season.
Dolphins vs. Ravens Prediction and Pick
While there are plenty of weapons on both offenses, I'm going to side with the under in this game.
The Dolphins limp into this game with a host of key players being banged up, including No. 2 wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, who suffered a high ankle sprain last week. While Hill brings a ton to the table, the Ravens' defense is the second-best in the league in terms of EPA/Play and can give the Dolphins fits on the offensive line.
While the Ravens may be vulnerable at times, the team is 18th in EPA/Rush, Miami has two banged-up starting running backs in Achane and Mostert which may put the team behind the sticks and into obvious passing situations, which can offset some of the concerns on that side of the ball.
When Baltimore has the ball, the team will likely lean on its potent ground game and Jackson's decision-making, but the Dolphins' defense has turned into a formidable unit since getting star cornerback Jalen Ramsey back, second in EPA/Play since Week 8 (Ramsey's first game).
This game is being lined like an above-average scoring game, but given the state of the Dolphins offense and both defenses, I prefer the under more.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!