Steelers vs. Ravens prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 18

Oct 8, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Justice Hill (43) runs
Oct 8, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Justice Hill (43) runs / Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens will kick-off the final week of the NFL season on late-afternoon on Sunday.

If you want to find out my best bets for the entire Week 18 slate, check out this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets".

The Steelers need to win to give themselves a realistic chance of making the playoffs while the Ravens have nothing to play for, having already locked up the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Does that mean we should blindly bet against the Ravens?

Absolutely not. I'll break down why in this article.

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Steelers vs. Ravens odds, spread, and total

Steelers vs. Ravens betting trends

  • Steelers are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the Steelers' last five games
  • Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. Ravens
  • Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. AFC North opponents
  • Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their alst six games
  • The OVER is 5-2 in the Ravens' last seven games
  • The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these teams

Steelers vs. Ravens injury reports

Pittsburgh Steelers injury report

  • Najee Harris - RB - Questionable
  • Trenton Thompson - S - Questionable
  • Elandon Roberts - LB - Questionable
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick - S - Questionable

Baltimore Ravens injury report

  • Zay Flowers - WR - Questionable
  • Kevin Zeitler - G - Questionable
  • Brandon Stephens - CB - Questionable
  • Kyle Hamilton - S - Questionable
  • Daryl Worley - CB - Questionable

Steelers vs. Ravens how to watch

  • Date: Saturday, January 6
  • Game Time: 4:30 pm EST
  • Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): ESPN/ABC/ESPN+
  • Pittsburgh Steelers Record: 9-7
  • Baltimore Ravens Record: 13-3

Steelers vs. Ravens key players to watch

Pittsburgh Steelers

Mason Rudolph: The Steelers third-string quarterback has played well enough over the past few games that he has been given the nod to start in Week 18 against the Ravens, despite Kenny Pickett being healthy and read to go. Rudolph has completed 68.5% of passes for 567 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions in his three appearances and two starts. He has a tough test against the Ravens' secondary this week.

Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill: The Ravens have yet to announce which starters will play and which will rest, but I can assure your Justice Hill will get his fair share of carries. Not only due to Gus Edwards getting some rest, but he has also averaged a strong 4.6 yards per carry this season and could be the key to playing spoiler against the Steelers.

Steelers vs. Ravens prediction and pick

If there's one piece of advice I could give you when it comes to betting on Week 18 of the NFL season is to not blindly bet on teams that "have to win" and bet against teams who have, in theory, nothing to play for. Those factors are already baked into the lines and in some cases, can be overvalued in one direction.

That's why for a few games this weekend I'll be betting on teams who don't need to win, like the Ravens on Saturday against the Steelers. Having already locked up the No. 1 seed, they're likely to rest some starters for at least a portion of the game, but even with a few backups in, I like them getting 3.5 points at home to the Steelers.

Let's remember the Steelers rank just 24th in the NFL in Net Yards per Play this season at -0.4, and despite beating the Ravens in Week 5, they were outgained 5.0 yards per play to 4.4.

The Ravens are just too good for me to lay this many points on a Steelers team on the road against them, even if they do rest a few starters.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!