Last-Minute Fantasy Advice

If you haven’t conducted your fantasy draft yet (I did last night), here are some last-minute tips for you in your draft, based on mine and numerous mock drafts I participated in.

• If you really want Drew Brees, take him early.  I had to take him #2 overall, because I didn’t like any of the top RBs and QBs in my league are a good value if they have big seasons.  There has been a lot of interest for him, so take him early, maybe even use him as trade bait.
• DeAngelo Williams is a wild card. In one draft, he went #3.  In another, he went #25.  Personally, I don’t mind him, but I don’t like a top 5 back who will be sharing a significant amount of time.  If you’re high on him, take him in round 1, but make sure that it’s not a reach, especially if you have a snaking draft and a pick near the end of the round.
• The running back crop is weak. Let’s look at some of the top ranked running backs, besides Adrian Peterson.  Maurice Jones-Drew has never been a guy who gets a huge amount of carries, even in college. Michael Turner has had only one great year.  Matt Forte has a gunslinger on his team, and I steer clear of stars in their rookie years (read: Marshawn Lynch).  DeAngelo Williams is sharing time. Brian Westbrook had surgery this offseason. LaDanian Tomlinson will be sharing time and has seen his numbers, and healthy games dwindle over the past few seasons.
• Nobody wants the rookie QBs. Sanchez and Stafford both were not drafted in every draft or mock draft I participated in, and have been very low in rankings and average draft selection.
• Buyer Beware: Bills receivers.  With Terrell Owens, some have thought Lee Evans will not have another 1,000 yard season.  With Trent Edwards as the QB, some have thought that TO will not have a 1,000 yard season.  Both are valid points.  With that said, I advise to steer clear of Marshawn Lynch.
• The Ravens D/ST is very valued. They were picked before Pittsburgh in most drafts, probably because of their performance on Monday Night, but also because of the pickup of Chris Carr, who is one of the top return men annually in fantasy leagues.

Feel free to comment with your own tips, as well.  And remember, another College Football Preview tonight.

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