Week 3 Fantasy Football preview: Ravens vs. Chiefs
By Mike Reid
Kansas City Chiefs
QB – Patrick Mahomes Projection: 22.6 fantasy points
My prediction: Over
Patrick Mahomes went around the third or fourth round in most 1-QB fantasy drafts. As of now, that even looks like a value after two weeks, he is just that special. Even with Tyreek Hill missing time, Mahomes looks to be on his way of throwing 40+ touchdowns. The Ravens defense presents a tougher challenge for Mahomes than Jackson has in this game. However, this Ravens secondary had some lapses last week and let rookie Kyler Murray throw for 349 yards in their house. Mahomes’ floor is pretty much 25 fantasy points each week, and he should even exceed that in this game.
WR – Sammy Watkins Projection: 12.5 fantasy points
My prediction: Under
The first under of the game! While we saw Sammy Watkins absolutely explode in week 1 for 42.3 fantasy points, he came crashing back down to earth with only 7.9 points vs Oakland last week. That’s really been the story with Watkins his whole career. A very boom-or-bust type player and difficult to predict when he will show up each week. With Hill out though, Watkins is the clear number two target behind Kelce.
However, like we saw last week vs the Raiders, rookie Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson will be involved in the passing game too. I expect Watkins to draw Marlon Humphrey in coverage most of the game as well. Unless Watkins hits a big-play touchdown, I see him going under his projection this week.
TE – Travis Kelce Projection: 15.1 fantasy points
My prediction: Over
Mark Andrews might be the number 1 fantasy TE so far this year, but it’s Kelce who will most likely have that crown by the end of the season. His production over that last 4-5 years has been outstanding. In fantasy he is such a positional advantage each week as he puts up WR1 numbers in your TE slot.
As for this game, Kelce will be heavily involved. It will be interesting on how the Ravens play Kelce. Do they use a big corner like Humphrey or Carr on him, plus have a safety help out over the top? Either way, Kelce is a good bet for 15 points, and he’ll get over if he reaches the end-zone.