Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills: 3 predictions for week 14
3. The Ravens win the turnover battle:
The Ravens have been protecting the football well this season. Lamar Jackson hasn’t turned the ball over hardly at all. He had his only lost fumble against the 49ers and he’s thrown just five interceptions. The defense on the other hand has been very opportunistic in the winning streak. The Ravens have 11 interceptions on the season and scooping up fumbles has become a signature of this defense (It’s okay Chuck Clark, you’ll get the next one). The Bills have a respectable turnover ratio, however the Baltimore makes the turnover battle and edge for the Ravens.
The Ravens are known for key turnovers at important moments. Last week the Ravens got a game changing sack-fumble on Jimmy Garoppolo. The win streak started because Marlon Humphrey punched a football from JuJu Smith-Schuster, then recovered it to set up Justin Tucker for a game winning field goal. The Bills can keep this interesting for a while, it just doesn’t seem likely that they can pull out a win in front of their home crowd. One reason why is that I trust the defense of the Ravens more than I trust Josh Allen in the big moment.
The Bills have the 23rd ranked passing attack. The Bills are going to have to put up a lot of points just to stay in the game. Allen is going to have to do more than usual to win a game. Allen is an impressive young quarterback, but he has to put the Bills on his back to win this game. He’ll try to do too much and it will lead to the turnover that starts a purple avalanche. The Ravens will keep on rolling by keeping the football for huge chunks of the game and getting a couple of important turnovers.