Mark Ingram: Stock down
Mark Ingram is coming off a spectacular first season with the Baltimore Ravens. In 15 games, Ingram scored 15 touchdowns (10 rushing, five receiving) while logging nearly 1,300-yards from scrimmage. This placed Ingram as the eighth overall running back in standard leagues in 2019. Prior to the 2020 NFL Draft, it seemed that Ingram would be a safe pick in the first two rounds of Fantasy Football drafts.
Unfortunately for him, the Ravens drafted Ohio State running back J.K Dobbins with the 55th overall pick. Dobbins will no doubt have a large role to play this upcoming season given the team’s heavy investment in the 21-year old. It doesn’t help the team already had Gus Edwards to snipe carries from Ingram. Baltimore is in a full-on running back by committee now.
Ingram still possesses good Fantasy Football value, and he could be a high-end RB2, but the touchdowns will be hard to replicate and it seems likely he won’t eclipse 200 carries again in 2020.
J.K. Dobbins: Stock neutral
J.K. Dobbins is one of the top prospects available in Dynasty Fantasy Football leagues. Dobbins is young and incredibly talented as both a runner and receiver. He also ended up with a team that will heavily feature the run. Even as the Ravens likely second-string running back he could still have a major impact as a rookie, especially as a receiver.
If not for the already present and established runners in Ingram and Edwards, Dobbins would have the upside of an RB1. Still, he could wind up being the top-dog by seasons end, and keeper leagues would love to hold on to him long-term, as he’s no doubt the future at the position for Baltimore. His 2020 value is likely that of a FLEX player with the upside to be an RB2 if the opportunities present themselves.
Gus Edwards: Stock down
Gus Edwards has logged back-to-back 700-yard rushing campaigns in his first two years in the NFL. Considering Edwards was a UDFA who has yet to see a full-time role in the NFL, that’s incredibly impressive. If not for a lack of touchdowns (two in each season), he could have legitimate FLEX value.
It’s highly unlikely that Edwards has any true value in Fantasy Football unless Ingram or Dobbins fails to impress and/or gets injured. Edwards will still see some volume late in games when the Ravens get off to leads because let’s face it that’s going to happen often, but he’s a limited upside player in this deep offense. Short of being traded, Edwards is a classic handcuff-type running back.
Justice Hill: Stock down
Justice Hill was an intriguing sleeper entering 2019, but that quickly got shut down when Mark Ingram exploded onto the scene. Gus Edwards also followed up his rock-solid 2018 season with an equally effective 2019 season even in a backup role. To make matters worse for Hill, the Baltimore Ravens went out and drafted J.K. Dobbins. Hill looks to be the team’s fourth-string running back now.
Luckily for Hill, Baltimore has emphasized they plan to use four running backs in 2020, and injuries do happen whether we want them to or not. Hill still seems to be a strong fixture in the team’s depth chart and we could see him have some value in PPR formats given his receiving prowess. There’s not much to like here unless you’re in deep leagues of 14+ people or a dynasty format. Hill could steal some touches in blowouts, but he isn’t someone to be heavily relied on.