3. The defense forces at least one turnover:
The Baltimore Ravens have the longest stretch in the NFL of games with a takeaway. Newton has thrown seven picks already this season, but I have got a much juicier stat for you. The Patriots have fumbled the ball 11 times. While they have somehow only lost four of those fumbles, that’s still a concern for them. The Ravens have forced 17 fumbles this year and they’ve recovered 10.
Last season the Ravens scored a touchdown on a forced fumble against the Patriots (Marlon Humphrey is the man). This year Marcus Peters is getting in on the fumble forcing party. The Ravens top two cornerbacks have forced seven fumbles. Humphrey missed the last game against the Colts due to testing positive for COVID-19. Humphrey will be back in this game and he’s always looking for the punch out.
The Ravens have forced four more turnovers than they have given the opposing teams this season. If things go as you would expect the Ravens will win the turnover battle. They have a good chance at making Cam Newton pay with an interception and nobody in the NFL forces more fumbles.
One way or another the Ravens should force at least one turnover because at this point it’s just what they do. Assuming Jackson takes care of the ball, which before the Steelers game wasn’t a huge concern, Baltimore should win the turnover battle. If it goes down like this, the Patriots have a tough road to win this game.
The Patriots have to play almost flawlessly to beat the Ravens. The Ravens have key match ups in their favor and they have the most talent. If the Ravens and the Patriots played 10 times, the Ravens would probably win seven of those games. If New England coughs up the football, they will be in trouble on Sunday night.