Let’s do some projection based on what the Baltimore Ravens have to work with right now:
We keep talking about what the Baltimore Ravens need to do this offseason that we may forget about what the Ravens currently have to work with. Here is what the numbers would look like for the Ravens offense if Baltimore didn’t make a move at wide receiver.
Lamar Jackson is coming off a season where he threw the ball well, but less than the other starting quarterbacks in the National Football League. Jackson had 2,757 yards through the air in the 2020 season. That’s not where the Ravens want that number to be.
The influence of Kieth Williams and Tee Martin as new assistant coaches will make an impact on the construction of the offense. In 2020, the Ravens started by attempting to recreate the 2019 season. In 2021 the offense can find its balance by adding more elements to the passing game.
Don’t expect wholesale changes. Instead, look for the dials to be adjusted and the passing concepts to be adjusted. Jackson probably won’t start averaging 35-40 passes a game. Instead, he will likely land in the 28-33 attempts range. Jackson will take some more deep shots. More deep passing is an obvious need for the passing game.
With more of an emphasis on the passing game and an adjusted passing attack, the Ravens should get Jackson’s numbers up. Give him 3,200 yards through the air. Give Jackson 33 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Let’s go with 900 rushing yards instead of his customary 1,000.
Dobbins is going to be the workhorse of this offense. Mark Ingram got 72 carries in the 2020 season and those carries have to go to somebody because the Ravens aren’t going to trim the carries down much. Dobbins will have 20-30 more rushing attempts this season. Last year Dobbins had 134 attempts for 805 yards and nine touchdowns.
Put him down for 160 attempts for 1,000 yards rushing, with decent production as a pass-catcher as well. Dobbins had 120 yards last season as a receiver. Give him 250 this year, because he’ll break a screen pass or two for a big gain.