1. Pittsburgh Steelers +4.5 vs. Baltimore Ravens
Even if we think the Baltimore Ravens will have success on offense it is hard to see the Steelers just getting out of the way and dying. We saw them score defensive touchdowns to beat the Cleveland Browns and with George Picks and Calvin Austin on offense, they score in big chunk plays as well.
When the Steelers and Ravens get together, you can expect a three-point finish, and that is worth betting on this week. The Ravens are playing two straight-road division games, which will be tough. More than that, the underdog in the Ravens and Steelers games is 22-5-3 when Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh are the coaches. Neither coach pulls away from the other.
In games when the spread is more than three, the underdog has covered in six of the last seven games. Even when one team is bad and the other is good, the underdog is live in this rivalry. The Ravens have advantages, but Mike Tomlin, T.J. Watt, Minkah Fitzpatrick, and George Pickens will keep this game close. Look for a field goal to decide things by the end.