1. The Baltimore Ravens will win by more than 10 points
This sounds bold because it is Patrick Mahomes, the former Super Bowl MVP who just won a big road game against the Buffalo Bills. Does he really get blown out this week? The odds are about +200 for this to occur. Against a team like the Baltimore Ravens, the answer should be yes.
The Baltimore Ravens are on a tear right now. They beat both the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers by double digits this season and beat the Texans by more than 20 points. Kansas City lost to the only team left that they have played.
The Kansas City Chiefs are a good team, but this is not the best team under Patrick Mahomes. This is the best team under Lamar Jackson. The defense has the advantage; the offense has the advantage.
We already predicted that the Ravens will hold the Chiefs out of the end zone. If the Ravens get a couple of scores and the Chiefs do not, it will be over.
Early on, the Ravens and Chiefs will exchange touchdowns for field goals, and the Ravens will get up 14-6. They will be able to get after Mahomes from there and lean on their run game to ice the game out, with a 23-12 over the Kansas City Chiefs.