What is a fair stat projection for Charlie Kolar with the Baltimore Ravens in year two? Mike Clay of ESPN makes the stat projections for fantasy football, and he often has a decent ballpark range of what to expect. So, what does Clay think after a rookie year marred by injury, and are these projections fair?
Over or Under 10 targets, seven catches, 67 yards, and one touchdown for Charlie Kolar with the Baltimore Ravens in 2023
Last year Charlie Kolar was active for two games, and he was targeted six times, catching four passes. It is pretty fair to think that Kolar could get over these projections if he put in a full season. There are two ways to look at it.
Clay seems to think that Kolar missing his rookie season speaks to what he will be. He only produced 49 yards, and now the Baltimore Ravens have added Odell Beckham, Zay Flowers, and even Nelson Agholor. When you add in that Rashod Bateman is healthy, the Ravens room is a lot deeper.
More than that, Clay has Isaiah Likely clearly ahead of Kolar. However, while Likely did take advantage, he was only ahead of Kolar last year due to the injury. It is true that the Ravens had no other options, but once Kolar was healthy they made sure to get him into the mix.
He was always a pass-catching option at Iowa State, and the Ravens could see him as someone who can split the seams with size they do not have. We are not expecting Kolar to average 24.5 yards per game as he did as a rookie, but even if he averaged eight yards per game, he would be closer to 120 yards.
He may not get targeted every week, but it would take two weeks with three targets to get halfway to this projection. It is easy to understand why Clay would lean so low on a player so low on the totem pole, but he does have a role in the offense, and it is hard to see the Ravens not giving him a target or two every week or so.
Over 10 targets, seven catches, 67 yards, and one touchdown